Methods

We accessed GIS layers of controlled burn and mechanical treatment data for the state of California, as well as fires prior to 2007, from the Forest Service website. Using the controlled burns and mechanical treatments layers, we calculated percentage of land treated with burns or mechanical, respectively. To find the total area of fuel treatment (in square meters) on state DPAs, we first selected the ‘state’ group from the Group DPAs layer. After selecting the ‘state’ group, we intersected the layers of controlled burns and DPA groups, then mechanical treatments and DPA groups. We named the new layers ‘State Burns’ and ‘State Mechanical.’ We intersected ‘State Burns’ and ‘State Mechanical’ to find areas where controlled burns and mechanical treatments had both been performed, and named this layer ‘State Burns Mechanical Overlap.’

We accessed data on WUIs in California from the Forest Service website. To calculate total area of burns and mechanical treatments near WUIs, we created a 400m buffer around the WUI layer and selected for burns and treatments with any part of their boundaries intersecting the buffer layer. This may result in a generous estimate of fuel treatment area close to WUIs because some of the treatment areas were as large as 44,686.5 km2, and only a small section of treatment areas needed to touch the WUI buffer to be included in the calculations.

To calculate total area of fuel treatments intersecting areas of previous fires, we selected for burns and mechanical treatments that intersected with the previous fires layer. This again may result in a generous estimate of treatment area close to previous fires, because only a small section of treatment areas needed to intersect the previous fires layer.

Lastly, we selected fuel treatments that were both near WUIs and intersecting with previous fire sites to find amount of overlap between the two. We then calculated how much of the overlap accounted for total area of burns and mechanical treatments near to WUIs, and how much of the overlap accounted for total area of burns and mechanical treatments intersecting with previous fire sites.

Results

State DPAs in California occupied 124,646,654.9 km2, with 3,903,519 km2 (3.1%) of that being treated for hazardous fuels. Between total area of treatment types (controlled burns and mechanical), controlled burns were conducted on the majority of treated land area, with 98.5% taken up by burns and the remaining 1.5% taken by mechanical treatments. Areas that were both burned and treated mechanically took up .1% of total treatment area.

Table 1. Fuel treatments in relation to WUIs and previous fires. Within 400m of WUIs Not within 400m of WUIs Intersecting previous fires Not intersecting previous fires Controlled Burn1 2,848,958.1 74.1% 995,201.3 25.9% 2,759,169.0 71.8% 1,084,990.50 28.2% Mechanical2 46,115.0 77.7% 13,245.1 22.3% 39,162.1 66.0% 20,198.0 34.0% Both3 4,856.2 99.9% 3.1 .1% 3,715.2 76.5% 1,144.1 23.5% 1Percentages are out of total controlled burn area on state DPAs 2Percentages are out of total mechanical treatment area on state DPAs 3Percentages are out of total area of burn and mechanical overlap on state DPAs

Total state DPA land occupied by WUIs was 55,913,917.6 km2 (44.9% of total state DPA land). As we expected, proportion of treatments close to WUIs were higher than those farther from WUIs. Controlled burns with area intersecting the 400m WUI buffer accounted for 74.1% of total controlled burns on state DPAs, while mechanical treatments close to WUIs accounted for 77.7% of total mechanical treatments on state DPAs (Table 1, Figure 1). Only .1% of total treated land near WUIs was both burned and mechanically treated. However, areas that were both burned and mechanically treated almost entirely occurred near WUIs, with 99.9% of burn and mechanical overlap intersecting with WUI buffers.

As we expected, proportion of fuel treatments intersecting with areas of previous fire was greater than treatments not intersecting previous fires. Controlled burns intersecting with areas of previous fire took 71.8% of total burn area, and mechanical treatments intersecting with areas of previous fire took up 66% of total mechanical treatment area (Figure 2).

Many overlaps occurred between treatments that intersected with WUI buffers and treatments that intersected with previous fire sites. For instance, overlap accounted for 80% of mechanical treatments that intersected with WUI buffers. In other words, 80% of the total area of mechanical treatments that intersected with WUI buffers also intersected with previous fire sites. Likewise, 92.5% of mechanical treatments that intersected with previous fire sites also intersected with WUI buffers. For controlled burns, 74.5% that intersected with WUI buffers also intersected with previous fire sites, and 77% that intersected with previous fire sites also intersected with WUI buffers.*

Discussion

Controlled burns accounted for far more land than did mechanical treatments. This may be because mechanical treatments are more expensive and require more labor to carry out in widespread areas. In addition, controlled burns became common practice before mechanical treatments and so were standardized prior to most mechanical methods (Williams 2005).

Higher proportions of controlled burns and mechanical treatments were present near WUIs, because residential areas are prioritized for citizen safety. Mechanical treatments in particular are common close to WUIs because of safety policies. According to Cal Fire, both ‘fuel management zones’ and ‘defensible space’ are implemented in residential areas. Fuel management zones are defined as “areas, usually surrounding communities, where the natural vegetative cover is reduced in density…fuel ladders are greatly reduced, and overstory and understory vegetation is spatially separated so that a ground fire will not, under normal fire conditions, climb into the canopy and turn into a crown fire.”

Defensible space is similar but also encompasses firefighting strategy and accessibility in the event of a fire: “an area within the perimeter of a parcel, development, neighborhood, or community where basic wildland fire protection practices and measures are implemented, providing the key point of defense from an approaching wildfire, or defense against encroaching wildfires or escaping structure fires…The establishment and maintenance of emergency vehicle access, emergency water reserves, street names, building identification, and fuel modification measures characterize the area” (Cal Fire).

Higher proportions of fuel treatments were also present in sites of previous fires. This is likely because previous fires represent fire-prone zones where treatment is needed to prevent high-intensity, dangerous fires. Future mapping on whether fires continue in these areas despite fuel treatments will offer further information on whether fuel treatments need to be strategized differently, and potentially on the necessity of fuel treatments as opposed to increased funding for fire suppression.

The discussion on wildfires is complex and must take into account urban planning, fire-prone areas, vegetation type, and fire regimes, among other variables. Analysis of current fuel treatment methods at the state, local, and federal levels is necessary to further improve treatment effectiveness. The objective of this study was to gain understanding of what factors currently influence locations of fuel treatments on state DPAs. We found that WUIs and previous fire sites both significantly affect presence of fuel treatments. Future studies should further analyze vegetation’s effects on fuel treatment presence, and whether fires continue to burn at high intensity in areas that have been already treated.

References

“Fuels Treatment.” 2012. Cal Fire. >calfire.ca.gov< Hoover, K. 2017. Wildfire Management Funding: Background, Issues, and FY2018 Appropriations. Congressional Research Service. Keeley, J. 2018. Lecture: The 2017 California Fires. Hixon Center for Sustainable Environmental Design, Harvey Mudd College. Stephens, S.L., J.J. Moghaddas, C. Edminster, C.E. Fiedler, S. Haase, M. Harrington, J.E. Keeley, E.E. Knapp, J.D. McIver, K. Metlen, C.N. Skinner, and A. Youngblood. 2009. “Fire treatment effects on vegetation structure, fuels, and potential fire severity in western U.S. forests.” Ecological Applications 19(2): 305-320. Williams, G.W. 2005. The USDA Forest Service: The First Century. United States Department of Agriculture.

*This is confusing me and it’s hard to explain. How do we account for overlap when we’re doing statistics? Questions for further improvement: • Should we show the maps? Or just create figures? And if we don’t show maps in results, should we show some in methods? • What are the most effective maps to display? I know the maps I put in weren’t that informative. • How do we account for differences in WUI/ non-WUI state land when calculating the percentage of treatment areas that are close to WUIs vs not close to WUIs/ do we need to account for that? • How can we conduct stronger analyses? • We couldn’t find a vegetation layer for California, but we know there has to be one…